Sunday, December 20, 2020

The flawed current college football postseason and the 2020 college fair college football playoff

 2014 intro

Flaws on current system 2014
Take on Autobids and Conf Champs Games
Preferred 16 team playoff plan        Alternate 8 team playoff plan


Hello, handful of people who read this every year! I do this every year even though I know the truth that the powers to be in college football would never have a fair college football playoff.(And that I don't put enough effort to promote this blog.) The system is designed to benefit the powerhouse teams and make sure they dominate the profits. That is why the FBS is the only major sports competition that doesn't give every team a path at the championship. It's ridiculous but it is what it is. It all comes down to greed.

But some hope remains, more mainstream voices are publicly pointing out flaws of the current system. Andrea Adelson of ESPN wrote and article that criticized the current system. The AAC commissioner criticized the playoff committee's decisions and called for changes to the system. However, I haven't heard too many loud voices ask for what I believe is the true solution. Automatic bids for the conference tournament.

There are many flaws to this current system but now I believe the 2 biggest core flaws of this system are: (1)Too much subjectivity in deciding who gets a chance and (2) too many teams are not given a chance to win it all.

Automatic bids for conference winners solve both. Teams earn their spot based on their play(winning a conference championship) and since nearly every team is in a conference, there is a fair chance now for the majority of teams(an improvement over the majority of teams having no chance no matter what).

This year there were 3 teams (Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina and San Jose State)  that did all they could but were denied a chance at it all. Had USC beat Oregon it could have been 4 (and the first P5 to be denied a shot). And a few P5 teams that deserved consideration over the last team in the current fake invitational (Notre Dame). It's a shame.

I've been thinking about adding another alternate plan(10 conference champs, no at large bids but play in games to round the bracket to 8.) but I'll stick to my original two for now.


here we go:

16 team playoff plan(this one):
Based on 2020 season.

Automatic bids: Alabama(SEC), Clemson(ACC), Ohio State (B10), Oklahoma(B12), Oregon(P12), Cincinnati(AAC), Coastal Carolina(Sun Belt), San Jose State(Mtn West), UAB(C-USA), Ball State(MAC)

At-large bids(trying to think like committee): Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Florida, Georgia, Iowa State, Indiana

Snubs: BYU. Louisiana. USC. I'd put Louisiana in myself with their Iowa State win but I'd understand a committee will choose the big conference team

Seedings/first round matchups(Trying to seed/rank them like a committee would):
1. Alabama vs. 16. UAB
2. Clemson vs. 15. Ball State
3. Ohio State vs. 14. San Jose State
4. Notre Dame vs. 13. Oregon
5. Texas A&M vs. 12. Coastal Carolina
6. Oklahoma vs. 11. Indiana
7. Florida vs 10. Iowa State
8. Cincinnati vs 9. Georgia

Comments:
I say this every year but this would be so much more fun than what's actually going to happen. Cincinnati-Georgia would mean so much more than it does now(If Cincy loses, morons will act like it justifies them never getting a chance at winning it all. If Cincy wins, then Georgia "didn't care" or some other excuse.). I think A&M is a little overrated and Coastal may be able to surprise them.

8 team playoff plan(this one):

Based on 2020 season.

Automatic bids:
Alabama(SEC), Clemson(ACC), Ohio State (B10), Oklahoma(B12), Oregon(P12)Cincinnati(best of group of 5)

At-large bids(trying to think like committee): Notre Dame, Texas A&M

Snubs: Coastal Carolina, Indiana. BYU. USC. I would have an unbeaten conference champ Coastal in over A&M for fairness sake but I'd understand a committee would never do that. But that is why I prefer my 16 team plan(or even the 10 team no at large all auto bid plan I referenced earlier)

Seedings/first round matchups(Trying to seed/rank them like a committee would):
1. Alabama vs. 8. Oregon
2. Clemson vs. 7. Cincinnati
3. Ohio State vs. 6. Oklahoma
4. Notre Dame vs. 5. Texas A&M



Comments:
I'd be interested in seeing how some people react to seeing the P12's best get blown out by Alabama. Probably a little differently than if Clemson were to hammer Cincinnati. This would be decent I guess, better than what we have. But I prefer the 16 team plan like I said before.